MAD,not Marx: Khrushchev and the nuclear revolution

The revival of nuclear strategy in US policy and scholarship has been strengthened by arguments that the ‘nuclear revolution’ – the assumption that thermonuclear bombs and missiles had made major war too dangerous to wage – does not affect international behaviour as much as nuclear revolution advocates claim. This article shows that the Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev indeed regarded nuclear war as too dangerous to wage, a decision which manifested itself not so much in foreign policy or military doctrine but in his determination to avoid war when the possibility arose. We argue that Khrushchev’s experience provides us with a more useful way to characterise the nuclear revolution and suggest some implications of this argument for contemporary debates about nuclear weaponry.     

无刷双馈电机原理及控制策略

详细分析了无刷双馈发电机的基本原理,基于不同的参考坐标系(转子轴dq0坐标系和同步坐标系),建立了无刷双馈发电机不同的数学模型.依据建立的数学模型,介绍了无刷双馈发电机的几种控制策略(标量控制、磁场定向控制、直接转矩控制、智能控制方法),并指出其优缺点.最后,指出了无刷双馈发电机运行控制中存在的难点和进一步研究的方向.     

潜艇线式巡逻的最佳对策研究

本文先用面积法求出线式巡逻潜艇发现目标的概率,然后对潜艇发现目标距离作了分析。在此基础上,建立了潜艇线式巡逻的矩阵对策模型,并用计算机对此模型进行求解,得到了潜艇线式巡逻的最佳对策。最后,对最佳对策作了讨论。本文建立的矩阵对策模型和求得的结果以及求解方法可为组织潜艇进行线式巡逻提供决策的科学依据。     

机动作战路线选择辅助决策系统模型研究

为了更好地评价机动作战路线的优劣,运用模糊数学的方法,结合机动路线选择的特点,建立了机动路线选择的指标体系,采用层次分析法(AHP)对指标体系的各个因素的权重进行了确定,并在模型的基础上对机动路线选择辅助决策系统的软件设计进行了构思。利用辅助决策软件对机动作战路线选择,快捷方便,特别是能够在多条路线中选取最优,实现了由定性分析转入定量分析的轨道,有助于提高指挥决策的科学性和客观性。     

对抗仿真中防空导弹微分对策模型研究

针对防空导弹与目标的空间对抗,建立了防空导弹微分对策空间对抗模型,并推算得到了最优策略,运用自适应神经网络评判方法对模型进行求解,通过给定条件下的仿真证明了该算法的有效性,显示了该模型可应用于防空导弹与目标的空间对抗问题。     

地空导弹阵地优选的灰色关联模型研究

依据地空导弹阵地优选受多因素制约的特点,运用灰色关联分析建立地空导弹阵地优选的灰色关联模型。通过综合研究地空导弹阵地选择的战术、技术要求及影响因素,提出了阵地选择的指标体系,进而结合使用Delphi法,建立了地空导弹阵地优选的灰色关联模型。经过实例计算证明了该模型具有实用性和推广价值。     

非公经济管理对西部大开发质量的影响

1978年以来的改革开放,提高了非公经济在国民经济和社会发展中的地位,随之滋生的包括行贿受贿、偷税漏税、国资流失、假冒伪劣、非法获取各种信息在内的现代版“五毒”,如果泛滥于西部大开发的战略展开中,必然会影响西部地区少数民族的利益,成为各民族共同繁荣之路上的隐患。1952年旨在整治资本主义工商业的“五反”运动,为经管西部大开发中的各类非公经济实体提供了有益借鉴。     

Classical geopolitics,realism and the balance of power theory

Since the end of World War II, classical geopolitics as a particular form of realism has been disengaged from the development of mainstream realist theories. This disengagement has not only concealed the value of classical geopolitics as a framework of analysis for policy and strategy, but also created an increasing rift between theory and policy in contemporary realist theories. This paper seeks to reengage classical geopolitics with mainstream realist theories by clarifying its realist traits and analytical characteristics, (re)stating its core propositions and probing into its potential contribution to the development of mainstream realist theories. This paper contends that classical geopolitics, while having a distinctive pedigree, can arguably be considered an integral part of the family of realist theories in view of its basic theoretical assumptions concerning international anarchy, the unit of analysis and power politics. As a framework of analysis, classical geopolitics incorporates three interrelated strategic propositions. Those three propositions not only constitute the theoretical core of classical geopolitics, but also manifest a peculiar balance-of-power conception that is essentially distinct from those proposed by mainstream realist theories. This paper argues that those three propositions combined promise to fill in prominent lacuna in the balance-of-power research programme, and also have significant implications for contemporary world politics.     

机动车辆自动识别系统

基于视觉的机动车辆自动识别方法工程量小、检测范围大、系统安装相对灵活，是一种很有前途的方法。目前已开发的商业系统大都用在日间辅助交通管理上。为改善视觉交通检测系统的实用性和增强系统的功能，本文作者对模型系统进行了深入的理论研究，提出了２．５维图像的新思路，提取车辆外形的综和特征更为准确，自适应识别方案使车型识别准确灵活，车头颜色特征的利用使识别的准确性进一步提高。实验证明，系统对光线的适应能力也明显增强，系统的稳定性得到改善，有望扩大系统的使用范围。     

基于选择准则的参数模型评价方法

为评价参数模型的优劣,分析了模型信息量与数据被模型拟合后的残差信息量之间的关系,提出了综合考虑模型拟合残差大小、残差信息量与参数数目的一种模型选择的新方法RIA。结合RIA方法,定义了时序模型评价的一种准则,并以航天测量数据处理为例,说明了不同模型在工程实际中的不同表现和本质区别的意义所在。